Rating Rationale
November 14, 2024 | Mumbai

Sansar Trust July 2023

(Originator: Shriram Finance Limited)
Series A2 PTCs rating upgraded to 'CRISIL A (SO)'; 'CRISIL AAA (SO)' rating reaffirmed on Series A1 PTCs

 

Rating Action

Trust Name

Instrument details

Amount Rated (Rs.Crore)

Outstanding Rated Amount$

(Rs.Crore)

Original Tenure#

(Months)

Residual Tenure# (Months)

Credit Collateral

(Rs,Crore)

Ratings/ Credit Opinions&

Rating Action

SANSAR TRUST JULY 2023

Series A1 PTCs

507.08

190.18

59

47

31.03

CRISIL AAA (SO)

CRISIL AAA (SO)

[Rating Reaffirmed]

Series A2 PTCs

56.34

56.34

CRISIL A (SO)

CRISIL A (SO) [Upgraded from ‘CRISIL BBB+ (SO)’]

Note: None of the Directors on CRISIL Ratings Limited’s Board are members of rating committee and thus do not participate in discussion or assignment of any ratings. The Board of Directors also does not discuss any ratings at its meetings.

1 crore = 10 million

Refer to annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities

$ After September 2024 payout

#Indicates door to door tenure; actual tenure will depend on the level of prepayments in the pool and exercise of the clean-up call option

&Series A PTC holders are entitled to receive timely interest and timely principal

Detailed Rationale

CRISIL Ratings has reaffirmed its rating for pass-through-certificates (PTCs) issued by ‘SANSAR TRUST JULY 2023’ at ‘CRISIL AAA (SO)’ for Series A1 and upgraded its rating to ‘CRISIL A (SO)from ‘CRISIL BBB+ (SO)’ for Series A2. The transaction is originated by Shriram Finance Limited (SFL; rated ‘CRISIL AA+/CRISIL PPMLD AA+/Stable/ CRISIL A1+’).

 

This securitization transaction is backed by receivables from two-wheeler and commercial vehicle loans originated by SFL. The rating is based on the credit enhancement available to the PTCs, the expected credit quality of underlying receivables, SFL’s origination and servicing capabilities, the transaction’s payment mechanism, and soundness of the transaction’s legal structure.

 

The pool has exhibited good collection performance as seen by strong collections ratios. The cumulative collection ratio for the pool is robust at 97.5%. This has led to minimal delinquencies in the pool as reflected in 90+ DPD of 0.6%. The healthy collection performance coupled with amortization of around 56.2% has led to an increase in the credit cover available to future PTC payouts from the cash collateral.

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description

Strengths:

  • Credit support available in the structure
    • As after September 2024 payout, credit collateral of Rs 31.03 crore (15.8% of future PTC payouts) provides credit support to Series A1 PTCs. The PTCs also benefit from scheduled EIS, approximating Rs 79.39 crore (40.4% of the future PTC payouts) provides sufficient cushion to service future investor payouts
  • Healthy Collection Metrics
    • As of September 2024 payout, the CCR of the transaction is 97.5%.

 

Weakness:

  • Potential effect of macro-economic headwinds
  • Borrowers in the underlying pool could come under pressure due to a challenging macroeconomic environment. Headwinds such as increased fuel costs, an increasing interest rate scenario, and moderation in demand on account of inflation and geo-political uncertainties. These factors may hamper pool collection ratios.

Liquidity: Strong

Liquidity position is strong given that the credit enhancement (internal and external combined) in the structure is above 1.5 times the estimated base shortfalls on the residual pool cash flows.

Rating Sensitivity factors

Upward factors:

  • For Series A1 PTCs: None
  • For Series A2 PTCs: Credit enhancement (both internal and external combined) available in the structure exceeding 1.8 times the estimated base shortfalls on the residual pool cash flows of the pool.

 

Downward factors:

  • For Series A1 PTCs: Credit enhancement (based on both internal and external combined) falling below 3.0 times the estimated base shortfalls on the residual pool cash flows.
  • For Series A2 PTCs: Credit enhancement (based on both internal and external combined) falling below 1.6 times the estimated base shortfalls on the residual pool cash flows.
  • A sharp down grade in the ratings of the servicer/originator
  • Non-adherence to the key transaction terms envisaged at the time of the rating

 

These aspects have been factored by CRISIL in its rating analysis.

About the initial Pool

The securitisation transaction is backed by a pool of receivables from two-wheeler (89.1% of initial pool principal) and commercial loans (10.1% of initial pool principal) originated by SFL. As of the pool cut-off date (August 31, 2023), the pool loans had a weighted average seasoning of 6.3 months, a weighted average interest rate of 21.5%, a weighted average LTV ratio of 80.5%, a weighted average original tenure of 28.7 months, and an average original loan amount of Rs 0.84 lakh. The top 3 states (Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh) contributed 47.7% of the initial pool principal. All the underlying pool loans were current on repayment as on the cut-off date.

 

Pool Performance Summary (as after September 2024 payouts)

Parameters

SANSAR TRUST JULY 2023

Asset Class

2Wheeler & Commercial Vehicle

Months Post Securitisation

12

Balance Tenure (Months)

47

Principal Amortisation

56.2%

Cumulative Collection Ratio (%)

97.5%

Credit collateral (% of scheduled future payouts)

15.8%

90+ Delinquency (% of initial POS)

0.6%

180+ Delinquency (% of initial POS)

0.0%

Credit collateral utilisation

0.0%

 

Rating assumptions

To assess the base case shortfalls in the securitised pools, CRISIL Ratings has analysed the collection performance of the pools since securitisation, pool specific characteristics and the portfolio delinquency performance of the originator. CRISIL has also considered the performance of rated securitisation transactions of SFL.

 

CRISIL Ratings has also factored in pool-specific characteristics and estimated the base case shortfalls in the pool in the range of 6.087.0% of pool cash flows. The base shortfall estimate is for the current contracts in the pool. CRISIL Ratings has additionally factored in overdues in the pool, and applied stresses commensurate with the rating level to arrive at the rating of the transaction.

 

  • CRISIL Ratings has assumed a stressed monthly prepayment rate of 0.3 to 1.3% in its analysis.
  • CRISIL Ratings does not envisage any risk arising on account of commingling of cash flows since its short-term rating on the servicer is ‘CRISIL A1+’.
  • CRISIL Ratings has adequately factored in the risks arising on account of transaction counterparties.
  • CRISIL Ratings has run sensitivities based on various shortfall curves (front-ended, back-ended, and normal) and has adequately factored the same in its analysis

 

Counterparty details

Capacity

Counterparty Name

Counterparty Rating

Effect on credit ratings in case of non-performance

Originator and seller

SFL

Rated ‘CRISIL AA+/CRISIL PPMLD AA+/Stable/CRISIL A1+’

 

No effect.

 

Servicer

SFL

Rated ‘CRISIL AA+/CRISIL PPMLD AA+/Stable/CRISIL A1+’

Significant effect, because of change in servicing quality and replacement cost of servicer. However, CRISIL Ratings does not currently envisage the requirement for servicer replacement.

Collection & Payout Account

Citibank N. A.

Rated ‘CRISIL AAA/Stable/CRISIL A1+’

Negligible effect. Account bank can be changed without impacting the rating.

Cash Collateral in the form of Fixed Deposit

Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation

Rated ‘CRISIL A1+’

Negligible effect. Bank with whom the fixed deposit is maintained can be changed without impacting the rating.

Trustee

ITSL

Not rated by CRISIL

Negligible effect. Can be replaced at minimal cost.

About the Originator

Following the consummation of the merger of SCUF and demerged undertaking of Shriram Capital Limited with SFL (erstwhile STFCL), the company has been renamed to Shriram Finance Ltd (SFL). Shriram Housing Finance Ltd (SHFL) continues to operate as a subsidiary of SFL which holds around 83.78% stake in the former. Pursuant to the consummation of the transaction, Shriram Capital and SCUF ceased to exist.

 

SFL, incorporated in 1979, was registered with RBI as a deposit-taking, asset-financing non-banking financial company and predominantly provides financing for vehicles such as CVs (both pre-owned and new), tractors, and passenger vehicles. Erstwhile SCUF (now merged into SFL) was incorporated in 1986 and operated in the retail financing segment with a focus on small enterprise loans, two-wheeler financing, gold loans, housing loans and others (auto and personal loans).

 

Key Financial Indicators: SFL consolidated

As on/for year ending

Unit

Jun-24

Mar-24

Mar-23

Mar-22^

Assets under Management (AUM)

Rs. Cr.

2,47.841

2,38,624

1,93,730

1,27,041

Total income (net of interest expenses)

Rs. Cr.

5,481

20,891

17,577

9,540

Profit after tax

Rs. Cr.

2,031

7,399

6,020

2,721

Gross NPA (Gross Stage-3)*

%

5.2

5.2

6.0

7.0

On-book gearing

Times

3.8

3.9

3.8

4.4

Return on managed assets

%

3.2**

3.1

3.0

2.0

*Gross Stage-3 estimated on combined basis for SFL and SHFL

^Pre-merger

**annualised

 

Key Financial Indicators: SFL Standalone

As on/for year ending

Unit

Mar-24

Mar-23

Mar-22^

Assets under Management (AUM)

Rs crore

221,668

185,683

127,041

Total income (net of interest expenses)

Rs crore

20,191

17,257

9,540

Profit after tax

Rs crore

7,190

5,979

2,708

On-book gearing

Times

3.8

3.6

4.4

Return on managed assets

%

3.2

3.4

2.0

^Pre-merger

 

Past rated pools

CRISIL Ratings has ratings outstanding on 18 securitisation transactions backed by SFL-originated loans. CRISIL Ratings is receiving monthly performance reports pertaining to these transactions. The cumulative collection efficiency in the underlying pools for these transactions range from ~96% to ~100% as of September-2024 payouts, with 90+ delinquency remaining at or below 3.0% of the initial pool principal.

 

Any other information: Not Applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL Ratings` complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments and are included (where applicable) in the 'Annexure - Details of Instrument' in this Rating Rationale.

CRISIL Ratings will disclose complexity level for all securities - including those that are yet to be placed - based on available information. The complexity level for instruments may be updated, where required, in the rating rationale published subsequent to the issuance of the instrument when details on such features are available.

For more details on the CRISIL Ratings` complexity levels please visit www.crisilratings.com. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.

Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)

ISIN Name of instrument Date of allotment Coupon rate (%) Maturity Date* Issue size (Rs.Crore) Complexity level Rating assigned Cash collateral (Rs.Crore)
INE0RGZ15018 Series A1 PTCs 29-Sep-23 8.75% p.a.p.m. 25-Sep-28 507.08 Highly Complex CRISIL AAA (SO) 31.03
INE0RGZ15026 Series A2 PTCs 29-Sep-23 Variable& 25-Sep-28 56.34 Highly Complex CRISIL A (SO) 31.03

*Indicates door to door tenure. Actual tenure will depend on the level of prepayments in the pool, and exercise of the clean-up call option

&No promised yield for Series A2 PTCs; any residual cashflows post payment to Series A1 PTCs is passed on to Series A2 PTCs

Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2024 (History) 2023  2022  2021  Start of 2021
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Series A1 PTCs LT 190.18 CRISIL AAA (SO) 31-05-24 CRISIL AAA (SO) 27-12-23 CRISIL AAA (SO)   --   -- --
      --   -- 27-09-23 Provisional CRISIL AAA (SO)   --   -- --
Series A2 PTCs LT 56.34 CRISIL A (SO) 31-05-24 CRISIL BBB+ (SO) 27-12-23 CRISIL BBB+ (SO)   --   -- --
      --   -- 27-09-23 Provisional CRISIL BBB+ (SO)   --   -- --
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.
Criteria Details
Links to related criteria
Evaluating risks in securitisation transactions - A primer
CRISILs rating methodology for ABS transactions
Meaning and applicability of SO and CE symbol

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